Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.349864 0.381982 0.416175 0.455363 0.499128 0.546605 0.602147
2026-01-04 0.299950 0.345501 0.397266 0.460783 0.537077 0.626338 0.739510
2026-01-11 0.269692 0.321896 0.383876 0.463566 0.564287 0.688668 0.855947
2026-01-18 0.247266 0.303539 0.372720 0.465093 0.586826 0.744088 0.966469
2026-01-25 0.230705 0.290070 0.365264 0.469010 0.610849 0.801603 1.083904
2026-02-01 0.212002 0.271847 0.349542 0.459713 0.615082 0.831340 1.164273
2026-02-08 0.200160 0.261460 0.342925 0.461498 0.633800 0.881810 1.278837
2026-02-15 0.188137 0.249778 0.333396 0.457963 0.643897 0.919791 1.377583
2026-02-22 0.179251 0.241683 0.328053 0.459626 0.661203 0.969358 1.499215
2026-03-01 0.169213 0.231239 0.318533 0.454156 0.666803 1.000689 1.593633
2026-03-08 0.159716 0.220948 0.308483 0.446962 0.668784 1.025870 1.679630
2026-03-15 0.149252 0.208635 0.294670 0.432906 0.658479 1.029583 1.727473
2026-03-22 0.145123 0.205556 0.294611 0.440567 0.684479 1.097225 1.901190
2026-03-29 0.140688 0.201762 0.293214 0.445952 0.707083 1.161169 2.076581
2026-04-05 0.135973 0.197242 0.290357 0.448621 0.725049 1.218273 2.245804
2026-04-12 0.131354 0.192597 0.286981 0.450089 0.740844 1.272638 2.416494
2026-04-19 0.127568 0.189038 0.285091 0.453852 0.760897 1.336720 2.616398
2026-04-26 0.121432 0.181437 0.276216 0.444918 0.756848 1.353596 2.715029
2026-05-03 0.117839 0.177742 0.273542 0.446635 0.772738 1.411296 2.913959
2026-05-10 0.113502 0.172627 0.268218 0.443237 0.778505 1.448832 3.071051
2026-05-17 0.110366 0.169332 0.265769 0.444835 0.794006 1.507937 3.288996
2026-05-24 0.106198 0.164135 0.259809 0.439578 0.795441 1.537097 3.436435
2026-05-31 0.101992 0.158698 0.253179 0.432663 0.792969 1.557428 3.564117